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02 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.5%
Bradford
46.9%
Draw
23.6%
Mossley AFC

Expected Goals (xG)

0.53

Bradford

vs
0.44

Mossley AFC

Markets

BTTS14.2%
Over 0.562.1%
Over 1.524.8%
Over 2.57.4%
Over 3.51.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
37.9%
1-0
20.3%
0-1
17.0%
1-1
8.5%
2-0
5.3%
0-2
3.7%
2-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
3-0
0.9%
0-3
0.5%
2-2
0.5%
3-1
0.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).