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AHT: 10CSV

01 Jan 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.7%
Angers
28.6%
Draw
39.7%
Lorient

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Angers

vs
1.11

Lorient

Markets

BTTS40.6%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.8%
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
11.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).