Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
Holstein Kiel
25.9%
Draw
30.2%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.36
Dresden
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).