Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.3%
Cambridge
27.7%
Draw
23.0%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Cambridge
vs
0.78
Colchester
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
12.0%
2-0
10.5%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).