Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.8%
Sampdoria
21.3%
Draw
64.0%
Bologna
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Sampdoria
vs
1.88
Bologna
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
7.9%
0-0
6.9%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.9%
0-4
3.7%
2-2
3.7%
1-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).