Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.9%
Sutton
24.5%
Draw
36.6%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Sutton
vs
1.35
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
9.5%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).