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25 Jan 2026 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.1%
Schalke 04
28.1%
Draw
26.8%
Kaiserslautern

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Schalke 04

vs
1.11

Kaiserslautern

Markets

BTTS53.2%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).