Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.8%
Juventus
18.4%
Draw
11.8%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Juventus
vs
0.74
Brescia
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.2%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.5%
4-0
4.9%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).