Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.8%
Deportivo Alavés
33.0%
Draw
31.1%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Deportivo Alavés
vs
0.89
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.556.1%
Over 2.528.7%
Over 3.512.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.9%
1-0
14.6%
1-1
13.9%
0-1
13.3%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
2.9%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).