Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.8%
Ternana
26.2%
Draw
24.0%
FeralpiSalo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Ternana
vs
1.13
FeralpiSalo
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).