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03 Apr 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.3%
West Brom
27.3%
Draw
43.4%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

West Brom

vs
1.52

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS55.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
7.6%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).