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22 Jul 2023 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.8%
Osijek
29.6%
Draw
36.7%
Slaven Koprivnica

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Osijek

vs
1.32

Slaven Koprivnica

Markets

BTTS54.0%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).