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DHT: 01CSV

18 Mar 2023 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.4%
Bradford
21.1%
Draw
17.5%
Hartlepool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.89

Bradford

vs
0.88

Hartlepool

Markets

BTTS49.4%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.2%
2-0
11.1%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).