Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.6%
Cremonese
21.1%
Draw
14.4%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Cremonese
vs
0.96
Cesena
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.5%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.1%
4-1
3.9%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).