Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.4%
Stevenage
27.5%
Draw
55.1%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Stevenage
vs
1.28
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS30.3%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.554.3%
Over 2.528.3%
Over 3.511.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
21.1%
0-0
14.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-1
10.5%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-0
2.5%
2-2
2.1%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).