Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.2%
Virtus Entella
33.4%
Draw
29.4%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Virtus Entella
vs
0.92
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.9%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.2%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).