Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.1%
Pau FC
15.9%
Draw
69.0%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Pau FC
vs
2.52
Lorient
Markets
BTTS60.4%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.569.9%
Over 3.548.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.9%
0-1
7.4%
0-3
7.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
1-4
5.0%
0-4
4.5%
2-3
4.3%
2-1
4.0%
1-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).