Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.2%
Livorno
28.4%
Draw
16.4%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Livorno
vs
0.71
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
12.4%
0-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.1%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).