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AHT: 02CSV

21 Feb 2020 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.6%
Cosenza
25.3%
Draw
58.2%
Frosinone

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Cosenza

vs
1.77

Frosinone

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
0-4
3.0%
2-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).