Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.8%
Oviedo
29.7%
Draw
48.5%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Oviedo
vs
1.28
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.4%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
4.8%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).