Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Le Havre
29.0%
Draw
14.6%
Chateauroux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Le Havre
vs
0.45
Chateauroux
Markets
BTTS24.8%
Over 0.582.0%
Over 1.548.9%
Over 2.523.5%
Over 3.58.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
23.8%
0-0
18.0%
2-0
14.0%
1-1
9.5%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
0-2
1.9%
4-0
1.7%
2-2
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).