Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Eldense
29.9%
Draw
37.8%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Eldense
vs
1.09
Leganes
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.515.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
12.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).