Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.4%
Valladolid
23.2%
Draw
58.4%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Valladolid
vs
1.82
Girona
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.5%
1-1
11.0%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
6.7%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
0-4
3.0%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).