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06 Oct 2024 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.1%
Pogoń Szczecin
28.6%
Draw
27.2%
Piast Gliwice

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Pogoń Szczecin

vs
1.07

Piast Gliwice

Markets

BTTS51.2%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).