Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.0%
Napoli
23.4%
Draw
21.6%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Napoli
vs
0.98
Genoa
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
6.7%
0-0
6.4%
3-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).