Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.5%
Clermont
21.4%
Draw
62.1%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Clermont
vs
1.88
Lyon
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.3%
0-0
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).