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AHT: 02CSV

09 Apr 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.6%
Erzgebirge Aue
19.4%
Draw
67.0%
Hannover

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Erzgebirge Aue

vs
2.39

Hannover

Markets

BTTS58.7%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-1
8.8%
1-3
7.7%
0-3
7.6%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
4.9%
1-4
4.6%
0-4
4.5%
0-0
4.1%
2-1
4.1%
2-3
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).