Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.6%
Milton Keynes Dons
25.4%
Draw
36.1%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
1.27
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).