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DHT: 20CSV

08 Jan 2026 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.9%
Cremonese
29.5%
Draw
41.6%
Cagliari

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Cremonese

vs
1.16

Cagliari

Markets

BTTS40.7%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.9%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
11.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).