Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.9%
Sociedad
21.2%
Draw
20.0%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Sociedad
vs
1.17
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.541.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
3-2
4.1%
0-0
4.0%
0-1
4.0%
4-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).