Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.8%
Everton
26.0%
Draw
16.2%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Everton
vs
0.86
Burnley
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
2-0
11.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
0-1
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).