Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.0%
Cremonese
21.0%
Draw
13.0%
Alessandria
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Cremonese
vs
0.87
Alessandria
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.8%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).