Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.9%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
30.5%
Draw
31.6%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Fortuna Dusseldorf
vs
1.11
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.8%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).