Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.4%
Walsall
28.1%
Draw
40.4%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Walsall
vs
1.18
Exeter
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
10.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).