Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.7%
Southend
23.9%
Draw
24.5%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Southend
vs
0.94
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
9.1%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).