Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.4%
Falmouth Town
8.7%
Draw
85.9%
Torpoint Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Falmouth Town
vs
3.56
Torpoint Athletic
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.593.5%
Over 2.581.9%
Over 3.564.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
8.9%
0-4
7.9%
1-3
7.8%
0-2
7.5%
1-4
7.0%
1-2
6.6%
0-5
5.7%
1-5
5.0%
0-1
4.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-3
3.4%
2-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).