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19 Jul 2025 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.7%
Katowice
30.0%
Draw
32.3%
Raków Częstochowa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Katowice

vs
1.13

Raków Częstochowa

Markets

BTTS49.4%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).