Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
Farense
33.3%
Draw
35.2%
Vitória Guimarães
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Farense
vs
1.01
Vitória Guimarães
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.2%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
13.3%
1-0
12.3%
0-2
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
3.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).