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AHT: 03

23 Aug 2024 · 17:00

AGF

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.0%
Aalborg BK
14.8%
Draw
76.2%
AGF

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Aalborg BK

vs
2.85

AGF

Markets

BTTS57.8%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.572.9%
Over 3.552.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
9.2%
0-3
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
1-3
8.2%
1-1
6.5%
0-4
6.2%
0-1
6.0%
1-4
5.8%
2-2
4.0%
2-3
3.8%
0-5
3.6%
1-5
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).