Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.2%
Cremonese
24.0%
Draw
14.8%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Cremonese
vs
0.82
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.9%
1-0
11.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).