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AHT: 01CSV

02 Jul 2020 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.3%
Eibar
29.3%
Draw
34.4%
Osasuna

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Eibar

vs
1.11

Osasuna

Markets

BTTS45.9%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
3-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).