Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
Hartlepool
23.6%
Draw
44.9%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Hartlepool
vs
1.59
Salford
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).