Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.0%
Parma
29.0%
Draw
40.0%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Parma
vs
1.16
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
11.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).