Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.5%
Stoke
31.0%
Draw
40.5%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Stoke
vs
1.22
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-1
12.3%
0-0
12.1%
1-0
9.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.0%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).