Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.8%
Sirius
21.4%
Draw
22.8%
Kalmar
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Sirius
vs
1.45
Kalmar
Markets
BTTS69.6%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.551.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
3-2
5.0%
3-0
4.8%
1-0
4.6%
4-1
4.0%
0-0
3.2%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).