Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.7%
Deportivo Alavés
29.3%
Draw
32.0%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Deportivo Alavés
vs
1.05
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
11.0%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).