Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.8%
Almeria
23.3%
Draw
26.9%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Almeria
vs
1.23
Granada
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).