Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
Brighton
28.5%
Draw
27.6%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Brighton
vs
1.18
Fulham
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).