Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.4%
Wrexham
22.3%
Draw
17.4%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Wrexham
vs
0.74
Reading
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).