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20 Jan 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.1%
Bochum
19.4%
Draw
66.5%
Stuttgart

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Bochum

vs
2.32

Stuttgart

Markets

BTTS57.4%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.9%
0-1
7.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-4
4.4%
0-0
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
2-3
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).